Heat is Online

Discuss political news items / current events.
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Re: Heat is Online

Postby msfreeh » Mon Oct 02, 2017 7:45 am

https://www.nytimes.com/2017/10/02/scie ... ctionfront

As Seas Warm, Whales Face New Dangers
October. 2, 2017

MOUNT DESERT ROCK, Me. — From the top of the six-story lighthouse, water stretches beyond the horizon in every direction. A foghorn bleats twice at 22-second intervals, interrupting the endless chatter of herring gulls.

At least twice a day, beginning shortly after dawn, researchers climb steps and ladders and crawl through a modest glass doorway to scan the surrounding sea, looking for the distinctive spout of a whale.

This chunk of rock, about 25 nautical miles from Bar Harbor, is part of a global effort to track and learn more about one of the sea’s most majestic and endangered creatures. So far this year, the small number of sightings here have underscored the growing perils along the East Coast to both humpback whales and North Atlantic right whales.

This past summer, the numbers of humpback whales identified from the rock were abysmal — the team saw only eight instead of the usual dozens. Fifty-three humpbacks have died in the last 19 months, many after colliding with boats or fishing gear.

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Re: Heat is Online

Postby msfreeh » Thu Oct 05, 2017 8:45 am

https://robertscribbler.com/2017/10/03/ ... tion-ramp/

Tesla’s Electric Sales Explode Despite Slow Model 3 Production Ramp
Around the world, electric vehicle makers are starting to make serious inroads into the global auto market. And aspirational industry leader Tesla continues to break new ground and open new markets despite an increasing array of challenges.

Record Tesla Sales

During the third quarter of 2017, Tesla sold 26,150 all-electric vehicles. A new quarterly sales record for the company which included 14,065 super-fast luxury Model S sedans, 11,865 of the also super-fast and highly luxurious Model X SUV, and 220 of the mid-class luxury-sport Model 3. In total, during 2017, Tesla has sold more than 73,000 vehicles. Placing the all-electric vehicle and renewable energy systems manufacturer in a position to challenge the 100,000 cars sold mark by end of December.

(Tesla production and sales by Quarter shows that Q3 2017 beat Tesla’s previous record by more than 1,300 vehicles. Tesla appears on track to hit near 100,000 vehicle sales in 2017. Note that Model X production took 6 Quarters, or approximately 18 months to fully ramp to present sales rates above 10,000 per Quarter. Telsa ultimately expects to produce more than 60,000 Model 3s per Quarter by 2018. Investment analysts are more conservative — with Morgan Stanley targeting 30,000 Model 3s per Quarter. Image source: Commons.)

Surprises in Tesla’s Q3 report include greater than expected overall Model S and X sales. Pessimistic speculation about Tesla struggling to sell its higher-quality line as customers await the anticipated but less expensive and tweaked-out (but still bad-donkey) Model 3 abounded throughout August and September. Those contributing to this brouhaha, however, did not appear to anticipate the excitement generated by Tesla’s Model 3 launch which appears to have spilled over to the more expensive line-up even as Tesla both offered incentives on some of its showroom vehicles and cut shorter range, lower cost versions of its Model S line-up.

Tesla Model 3 Production Ramp — A Miss, But Still in the Window

Tesla did, however, fail to meet Model 3 production ramp goals of 1,500 by the end of September. And this was one point where the Tesla pessimists ended up proving at least partly right. Citing production bottlenecks, the luxury EV manufacturer noted that it had produced only 260 Model 3s by end month — a 1,240 vehicle short-fall for the Quarter.

Overall vehicle production had still grown from July through September — hitting 30 in July, about 80 in August, and about 150 in September. This is still an exponential rate of expansion. But the more rapid anticipated ramp was not achieved. Tesla noted that most of their fast production chain was functioning as planned. But that a few bits of the complex and highly automated Model 3 manufacturing subsystems were taking “longer than expected to activate.”

(Tesla’s ground-breaking Model 3 missed company production targets by a fairly wide margin this month — triggering a big controversy among investors. Long term prospects for the Model 3 remain strong as Tesla works through what is, effectively, an employee beta testing period. Image source: Tesla.)

At first blush, this appears to be a fairly wide miss in Tesla’s planned production ramp. But if rapid production scaling is still achieved this fall, it will look like nothing more than a bit of a bump in the road. After the Q3 report, Elon Musk noted:

“I would simply urge people to not get too caught up in what exactly falls within the exact calendar boundaries of a quarter, one quarter or the next, because when you have an exponentially growing production ramp, slight changes of a few weeks here or there can appear to have dramatic changes.”

In other words, we are still in the window for rapid production scaling, even if the earlier, more rapid, ramp was missed by a few weeks.

The company previously struggled with its very complex production of the ultimately popular Model X. To address production challenges, Tesla aimed to simplify production for the Model 3. But integration of new automated equipment into large manufacturing chains as the vehicle is built and product-tested by employee-customers is proving to again pose a few challenges. Challenges that, at this time, do not appear to be anywhere near as serious as those encountered during the Model X production ramp, but are still enough to produce delays.

Tesla Model 3 Production Still About to Explode as EV Maker Enjoys Serious Structural Advantages

Keeping these facts in mind, we can take some of the overly negative reports following Tesla’s failure to hit early Model 3 production targets with a lump of salt. The company still produces amazing cars, is still going to flood the world with high-quality and much more affordable all-electric Model 3s. The company owns a massive manufacturing apparatus in the form if its Freemont plant and Nevada Gigafactory. An apparatus that is rapidly growing. Outside this expanding manufacturing chain, the company is the only major automaker to seriously invest in and rapidly expand crucial EV charging infrastructure. All of these are systemic underlying strengths that the electric automaker will continue to leverage and expand on.

(Tesla battery sales help to reduce EV battery pack costs by producing economies of scale in production. The reverse is also true. With demand for Tesla’s powerwall and powerpacks on the rise, the company possesses a number of systemic advantages that most automobile manufacturers lack. Image source: Tesla.)

Tesla is in the process of transitioning from an automaker that produces a moderate number of vehicles each year to a major automaker that produces more than half a million vehicles each year. And it’s bound to encounter a bump or two in the road from time-to-time. Ultimately, the Model 3 production ramp will hit its stride as Tesla works out the kinks. Around 500,000 reservation-holders will still get their cars.

Analysts at Morgan Stanley recently:

warned investors against “micro-analyzing the monthly ramp of the Model 3.” Most vehicle launches have hiccups, and quality and attractiveness count for far more importance than quantity “at least for now,” they said in a note.

Tesla was quick to stress that it foresaw no serious issues with the Model 3 production. That the company understood what needed to be fixed in the manufacturing chain and was working to address those issues. If this is the case, we should see Model 3 production start to ramp more swiftly over the coming weeks. But even without rapidly ramping Model 3 production — which is on the way sooner or later — Tesla is still smashing previously held all-electric sales records.

And for those of us concerned about climate change, that’s good news.


Tesla Shares Shake off Bad News of Model 3 Deliveries


Tesla Q3 Report


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Allan Barr / October 3, 2017
We are in the early stages of a massive transformation into renewables and battery storage. A paradigm shift equal to the transformation from Horse and Buggy into ICE. That Change took a couple of decades. For those who care about the biosphere and can afford to invest in companies like Tesla its going to be good for their soul and pocketbook. Thanks for throwing out some positive news every now and then Robert, am personally struggling to remain optimistic when the deluge of ongoing catastrophic climate events appears overwhelming.

robertscribbler / October 3, 2017
It’s important not to get too focused on the dark side of what’s happening. We should remain alert to real and viable threats. But we should also remain open to the options that are now becoming available to us. In other words — there is both light and darkness here.

Worth noting that Rick Perry is now pushing to subsidize the ailing nuclear and coal industries. Small surprise, that. The largest threats to renewables remain on the policy level. We should do all we can to support renewables by voting for politicians (democrats primarily) that support alternative options and voting out those (republicans primarily) who oppose them.

Allan Barr / October 4, 2017
10 new members in just the past month. I believe this group may be the single most important development in the political arena. https://citizensclimatelobby.org/climat ... ns-caucus/

robertscribbler / October 3, 2017
Test version of Tesla’s all-electric semi also found recently:

Greg / October 3, 2017
Nicely timed. I found this 30 minute summary of Jack Richard’s analysis well worth listening to (originally 2 hours or so). He’s not a traditional analyst, but has done his homework including actual taking apart of the cars, and doesn’t come off polished but he nails Tesla spot on and covers why it can dominate the future as a company and why we will all benefit.

Abel Adamski / October 4, 2017
Excellent Video, share it around

Jim / October 4, 2017
+1 Allan, you are spot on when saying we’re in the midst of a massive energy transformation.

With the Tesla Model 3, Chevy Bolt, and Nissan Leaf among others, the tipping point of EVs having a lower lifetime operating cost compared to ICE has already been soundly crossed, and the tipping point to build, and purchase, an EV is probably only 2 – 3 years away.

Plus this doesn’t consider the regulatory activities that are now happening globally. The combination of PV solar panels and EV’s and soon, storage batteries, can dramatically influence the demand for oil and coal. Equally as important, people need to know it’s also economical.

Do your own calculation using the NREL PV Watts website for you specific street address to calculate PV generation, and calculate your cost to drive with electric vs gasoline. Most folks are being ripped off to the tune of thousands of dollars each and every year. There is no such thing as “Clean, Affordable Coal”. It’s expensive. And gasoline even at $2.50/gallon is still about 4 times the cost of driving on electricity.

wili / October 4, 2017
Ford’s announcement today:

Ford CEO outlines plan to aggressively cut costs, funneling savings to electric, self-driving cars

The Blue Oval is getting a makeover.

Ford CEO Jim Hackett and his leadership team are steering the automaker to drive greater profits on its most valuable products, trucks and SUVs, while turning away from less valuable areas like cars. At the same time, Ford plans to aggressively cut costs while investing more resources on electric and autonomous-drive vehicles.

“When you’re a long-lived company that has had success over multiple decades, the decision to change is not easy — culturally or operationally,” Hackett said. “Ultimately, though, we must accept the virtues that brought us success over the past century are really no guarantee of future success.”

Hackett devised his plan for transforming Ford after using most of his first 100 days at the helm to evaluate what works and what doesn’t. The result is a substantial push to shift gears at a company that has a history of being slow to change.

More trucks and SUVs, fewer Cars

Ford plans to reallocate about $7 billion to increased development and production of trucks and SUVs, while demphasizing less profitable cars and sedans.

Ford is not getting out of the car business all-together, but it will no longer be an automaker that pushes cars as heavily as it has in the past.

Instead, Ford will emphasize trucks and SUVs, an area of strength and big profits, especially when compared its competitors. This year, 76 percent of Ford’s sales in the U.S. are trucks and SUVs.

Charging up EVs

Like other automakers, Ford is going electric.

Over the next five years, it will redeploy money into its program for developing and building electric vehicles while cutting capital expenditures for internal combustion engines by one third.

Ford sees the writing on the wall, especially in many foreign markets where governments are de-emphasizing or moving to ban gasoline-powered vehicles. This move is critical since Ford has lagged competitors when it comes to developing EVs. …

https://www.cnbc.com/2017/10/03/ford-to ... -cars.html

Generally, we need to move mostly away from car culture as rapidly as we can. But while cars still rule, it is important to have alternatives it ICE, imho.

wili / October 4, 2017
Other developments:

“I’ve gotten messages from the governor asking, ‘Why haven’t we done something already?’” Nichols said, referring to China’s planned phase-out of fossil-fuel vehicle sales. “The governor has certainly indicated an interest in why China can do this and not California.”

California is now also considering a ban on gas and diesel-powered cars
https://electrek.co/2017/09/26/californ ... ered-cars/

wili / October 4, 2017

Twenty new electric vehicles are on the way, GM says
There will be a mix of long-range battery EVs and hydrogen fuel cell vehicles.

DETROIT—General Motors is the latest car company to unveil plans for an emissions-free future. On Monday morning, the US’ largest automaker announced that the next 18 months will see two new electric vehicles join the Bolt EV in showrooms, and 18 more are due by 2023. “GM believes in an all-electric future and a world free of automotive emissions,” said Mark Reuss, GM’s executive VP for product development, purchasing, and supply chain. “When the Bolt EV was announced at CES it was described as a platform, and this is the next step.” …

https://arstechnica.com/cars/2017/10/ge ... g-by-2023/

wili / October 4, 2017
Sorry for the back-to-back, but I’ve been following these developments over at the cars thread at ASIF. Thanks to Sig there for these links and text. One more note, then I’m off to bed:

Most of the fastest selling used cars in the US are now electric
https://qz.com/1090343/most-of-the-fast ... re-now-ev/

6 of the 10 fastest-selling used cars in the US are electric plug-ins
https://electrek.co/2017/09/28/6-of-the ... -plug-ins/

Tipping points, of a happier sort than we usually use that term around here, seem to be coming on all sorts of fronts wrt EVs!

Abel Adamski / October 5, 2017
https://www.engadget.com/2017/10/04/por ... d-testing/

Porsche Mission E caught testing against Teslas
It looks as though Porsche is pretty far in development.

Porsche has previously said that the Mission E would reach production by 2020, and according to our friends at Engadget, it should go on sale in 2019. Based on how complete the cars in these photos appear to be, we think the company has a good chance of hitting that target. When the concept was shown, Porsche promised 590 horsepower and, on the European test cycle, a range of over 310 miles. Also interesting was the concept’s claimed 800-volt electrical system that could be charged to 80 percent capacity in 15 minutes. Time will tell whether that system comes to fruition, but Porsche has at least tested some portion of the system on its Le Mans-winning 919 Hybrid race cars. Porsche also expects to sell the car for $80,000 to $90,000. All these features taken together would definitely make for a compelling Tesla alternative.

California and charging stations

Abel Adamski / October 4, 2017
The issue for the big auto makers is simply charging stations as Jack Richards points out in the video Greg posted above, as Jack points out to much of the buying public, can they drive to California in it ( even if they never will ) , Tesla has built 380 or so supercharger stations in the US, so for Tesla cars it is a yes, for the other manufacturers, unless their vehicles can plug into a Tesla Supercharger, the answer is no, so off the list of prospective veh purchases.

As he also points out Tesla offered a share in that network to the Car Manufacturers on a share all costs basis, they knocked it back, as such dependant on private operators and those stations if they are working are of highly variable standard.

Another interesting point I picked up that is behind the panic of the worlds ICE veh manufacturers is that US car makers sell 60% of their new cars in China, China going EV as well as many other countries, destroys their business model if they don’t have suitable products regardless of what happens in the US

Vic / October 4, 2017
I personally find it pretty bizarre that I’m actually looking forward to the unveiling of a new semi truck, but these are pretty strange times so I guess that explains my enthusiasm.

I feel a certain measure of trepidation however about Elon’s plans for his massive new rocket ship the BFR, which could allow us not only to become a multi-planet species but also to travel anywhere on Earth in under an hour for around the same cost as traditional air travel. Sounds great, except that it would likely increase the popularity of long distance travel and considering the rocket’s CO2 emissions high into our atmosphere this is somewhat concerning.

But there might just be a silver lining. In order for Elon to achieve his Martian goals he’ll need to be able to produce methane and oxygen on Mars in order for the rockets and people to get back to Earth. For this he proposes using electrolysis to extract O2 and H2 from water sources on Mars and combining the H2 using the Sabatier process with CO2 extracted from Mars’ atmosphere to produce the methane. All solar powered of course.
He mentions it briefly around the 33:50 mark in the video below, and goes on to mention that the same process could be employed on Earth, but is also careful to describe that possibility as “in the long term”. It’s hard to know what someone like Elon Musk thinks of as long term. He plans to begin sending his rockets to Mars by 2022. Let’s hope he has a fleet of Earth bound climate-friendly methane factories putting the frackers out of business by then. A price on carbon would certainly help.

Vic / October 4, 2017

Vic / October 4, 2017
German startup Lilium Aviation have secured $90 million in funding to help bring their new electric VTOL aircraft to market. The funding was led by Tencent – adding to their now many electric vehicle-related investments, including a 5% stake in Tesla.

https://electrek.co/2017/10/02/electric ... ilium-jet/

Mblanc / October 4, 2017
Ten years ago we could see the future was looking pretty dark, and we had relatively little positive evidence that the massive energy transition we need was truly imminent.

Now we know that transition will happen, as all the key tech is now very affordable, so it’s now a question of how fast .That is a huge positive thing.

I appreciate RS letting us know about some of the genuinely good news stories, because it is hard to handle the knowledge of all the bad stuff unwinding in front of our eyes, and what the future will bring.

We might be up the creek, but at least we starting to paddle.

Mblanc / October 4, 2017
… at least we are starting to paddle.

Suzanne / October 4, 2017
At NYTimes this morning..”In a warming world, keeping the planes running”

Climate change is making airport planners think again.

Low-lying airports may become increasingly vulnerable to storm surges. Hotter temperatures may cause tarmac to melt, restrict takeoff weights or require heavier aircraft to take off later in the day.

Now governments, companies and experts around the world are grappling with what could be a very expensive problem. Keeping the industry aloft requires colossal investment — $1.1 trillion in airport infrastructure projects are planned or underway, the CAPA Center for Aviation, a consulting firm based in Australia, said in July.

“Airports understand well that climate change could have some far-reaching effects and that they are not immune to them,” said Angela Gittens, the director general at Airports Council International’s headquarters in Montreal.

Suzanne / October 4, 2017
Correction…This was first published on September 30th…I just saw it this morning.

wili / October 5, 2017
Most of the ‘industry’ should just be shut down. Relatively few flights are absolutely necessary. What’s left of the carbon budget and the airlines budget should be saved for those, rather than the enormous numbers of frivolous flights now being taken.

I just celebrated my 13 year of not flying, by the way. Never regretted it for a day (especially as I hear the increasingly horrific stories of what airlines put you through and how passengers are sometimes molested and dragged of the plane by force…)

bostonblorp / October 4, 2017
“Solar Grew Faster Than All Other Forms of Power for the First Time”

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles ... s-of-power

Jean Mcmahon / October 4, 2017
Moroccan city introduces Chinese electrical buses
The Moroccan city of Marrakech launched on Thursday electrical busses from China in a bid to improve transportation service and reduce pollution…http://www.china.org.cn/business/2017-0 ... FU.twitter

Apneaman / October 5, 2017

Dave McGinnis / October 5, 2017
Industry got us into this mess, only they can get us out of it. This is one way they’re doing it — satisfying consumer demand for green transportation. And look at solar sales.

P.S. Mr Scribbler, I really appreciated your OPAL story.

Andy_in_SD / October 5, 2017
As permafrost melts, cliff faces fall. In this instance in Greenland a Tsunami was the result.

A Landslide Was the Culprit Behind a Massive Tsunami in Greenland
This could be just the beginning.

Western Greenland doesn’t experience all that much seismic activity, so scientists were surprised when a 4.0 magnitude earthquake was recorded in the Karrat Fjord area on June 17, followed by one of the largest tsunamis in recorded history, which swept away 11 houses in the small village of Nuugaatsiaq. A closer examination of seismic data and the mountains surrounding the fjord reveals that it wasn’t an earthquake that caused the tsunami after all. Instead, it was a massive landslide that tripped seismic sensors and generated the unprecedented wave.

http://www.atlasobscura.com/articles/gr ... rrat-fjord

Exposing the Big Game / October 5, 2017
Reblogged this on The Extinction Chronicles.

wili / October 5, 2017
https://www.theguardian.com/environment ... rgy-agency
“Renewables accounted for two-thirds of new power added to world’s grids last year, says International Energy Agency (IEA)”

“The authority, which is funded by 28 member governments, admitted it had previously underestimated the speed at which green energy was growing.”

Allan Barr / October 5, 2017
The IEA is notorious for being wrong, they use straight line thinking appear to be unaware of the exponential function.

Abel Adamski / October 5, 2017
Slightly OT, but the gems you pick up along the way in the droppings
http://www.politico.com/story/2017/10/0 ... ger-243449

Marc Short, Trump’s director of legislative affairs who previously served as an operative for the Koch financial network,

Vic / October 5, 2017
A nice project going ahead in Norway – the world’s first battery powered container ship. Due to launch in 2018.

Vic / October 5, 2017
In other news from Norway, parts of the country’s south have witnessed their highest ever rainfall totals and flood levels in records dating back to 1890.


Abel Adamski / October 5, 2017
https://www.voanews.com/a/arabian-sea-i ... 57392.html

In news about Asia and the Indian Sub Continent

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Re: Heat is Online

Postby msfreeh » Mon Oct 23, 2017 10:34 pm

https://robertscribbler.com/2017/10/23/ ... -about-it/

Narragansett Bay is Being Impacted by Climate Change; Scott Pruitt’s EPA Says Scientists Can’t Talk About it
Scott Pruitt, a climate change denier who was tapped to head the EPA by a similarly myopic Trump Administration now appears to be wielding the powers of that government agency to suppress the voices of climate scientists.

A report out of the New York Times yesterday found that three scientists scheduled to discuss the impacts of human-caused climate change on the sensitive environment of Narragansett Bay were barred from speaking in a panel discussion today. The scientists are employees of the EPA and contributors to a 400 page report on the health of Narragansett Bay. The study found numerous climate change related impacts to the Bay region — which is a vital economic resource and home to more than 2 million people.

The study found that:

“Climate change is affecting air and water temperatures, precipitation, sea level, and fish in the Narragansett Bay region.”

The EPA, presently headed by Scott Pruitt, gave no reason why the scientists were barred from sharing their climate change related findings at the panel. An agency charged with protecting the clean air and water of the United States, the EPA has likely never housed an administrator so at odds with its institutional mission. Pruitt has opposed numerous agency actions and has worked throughout his career to undermine both the Clean Air and Clean Water acts. Laws that aim to protect American citizens and wildlife from the harmful health impacts of polluted water and damaging particulates in the air.

Pruitt has also received criticism recently for spending $25,000 for a sound proof booth to mask his communications with who knows who, using considerable government funds to pay for round-the-clock personal security, and individually spending more than $58,000 for private charter jet flights.

(Scott Pruitt’s numerous ties to climate change denial and fossil fuel industries. Image source: Desmogblog.)

Pruitt was also one of a number of lawyers who directly challenged the EPA’s authority to regulate greenhouse gasses in an effort to protect the U.S. from the harmful impacts of climate change during the Obama Administration. Pruitt has received significant campaign contributions from the fossil fuel industry and is the direct beneficiary of strong political support from climate change denial promoting agencies like the Heartland Institute.

Rhode Island Senator Sheldon Whitehouse (D) stated his opposition to this week’s nonsensical censoring of EPA funded scientists stating:

“Narragansett Bay is one of Rhode Island’s most important economic assets and the EPA won’t let its scientists talk with local leaders to plan for its future. Whatever you think about climate change, this kind of collaboration should be a no-brainer. Muzzling our leading scientists benefits no one.”


EPA Cancels Talk on Climate Change by Agency Scientists

Furor Erupts over EPA Decision to Pull Scientists From Panel Discussion


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Re: Heat is Online

Postby msfreeh » Sat Nov 18, 2017 11:27 am

https://robertscribbler.com/2017/11/15/ ... or-greece/

Sudden Severe Flood Leaves 14 Dead in Athens, Forecasts Show Up to 15+ Additional Inches on the Way for Greece
Extreme drought. Extreme floods.

Unfortunately, with human-caused climate change, these kinds of devastating events have become far more frequent. With the Earth warming by around 1.1 to 1.2 C above pre-industrial averages, there are now four times as many instances of extreme weather than there were as recently as the 1970s.

What this means is that anywhere around the world now, the hammer of severe weather and related damages is four times more likely to fall than in the past. That the tempo of such events is now greatly increased. All thanks to continued fossil fuel burning, atmospheric CO2 levels that will average around 407 ppm over the coming months, the heat that these greenhouse gasses are continuing to add to the Earth’s climate system, and a failure to transition swiftly enough to more sustainable practices and zero carbon energy sources to prevent ramping damages.

Major Rain Event Strikes Athens — With More Severe Weather in the Forecast

Today, the major blow appears to have fallen on Greece. To the west of this country, over the Mediterranean, a cut off low is creating instability throughout the region. An intense, thick, moist warm air flow is moving in from the south. This warm and very water dense air is then colliding with a colder air mass to the north. Upper level instability is feeding powerful convection erupting in the atmosphere above Greece. And this convection is producing some mountainous thunderheads.

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Re: Heat is Online

Postby msfreeh » Mon Nov 27, 2017 11:12 am

https://weather.com/forecast/regional/n ... est-plains

Dozens of Daily Record Highs Expected Through Tuesday From the Desert Southwest to the Plains
By Linda Lam7 hours agoweather.com

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Re: Heat is Online

Postby msfreeh » Tue Dec 05, 2017 1:39 pm

https://robertscribbler.com/2017/12/05/ ... s-to-flee/

Scribbling for environmental, social and economic justice
Deadly California Wildfire Erupts in December, Forcing Thousands to Flee
Last night a 500 acre fire exploded to massive size — raging over the hills of Ventura County in Los Angeles. Fanned by strong Santa Anna winds, the fire ballooned to over 45,000 acres by Tuesday morning forcing the evacuation of several thousand homes.

Already there are reports of homes and structures destroyed as the fire rages in or near a number of populated areas. Late last night, power was cut off to upwards of 200,000 people as the fire crossed utility lines. And as of early this morning, the fire was reportedly advancing toward Ventura with 500 firefighters on the scene trying to beat the blaze back. Thankfully, as of yet, there are no reports of injury or loss of life.

Climate conditions on the ground have been very conducive to out-of-season wildfires. During the past month, temperatures across the region have trended between 2 and 4 degrees Celsius above average. Southern California is settling into drought. And over the past day, a strong high pressure system gathering to the north helped to send 40-60 mph Santa Ana winds rocketing over the hills and valleys around Los Angeles.

(Powerful high pressure ridge north of California sent strong Santa Ana winds over a region of California experiencing a warmer than normal fall and falling into drought. Image source: Earth Nullschool.)

Due to human-forced climate change and a related warming of the U.S. Southwest, the fire season for California now never really ends. Global temperatures have increased by 1.1 to 1.2 degrees Celsius since pre-industrial times, and climate zones are moving north. Both warmer temperatures and more extreme ranges of precipitation due to climate change aid wildfires in the west — first by allowing for rapid growth of vegetation during more intense wet periods and second by drying out these growths more swiftly as the climate regime switches to dry.

Since the 1980s, the number of large wildfires out west has quadrupled. But if fossil fuel burning continues, warming will also continue and the already difficult conditions we see will further worsen.

We are entering a time when a region of the west from California all the way north to Alaska and Alberta are starting to see wildfires capable of threatening cities with increasing frequency. If we are to dampen this trend, we need a change to less harmful energy sources and fast.

Genomik / December 5, 2017
I found this on Google on YouTube, it seems like a guy reading tweets but thats good news. Its better than watching CNN which shows another catastrophe 24/7 named tRump.

I can’t believe how fast these fire bombs happen in California. I just travelled with some people from down there, I hope they are ok. Its scary!

https://news.google.com/news/video/ugSV ... =en&ned=us

Christina MacPherson / December 5, 2017
Reblogged this on nuclear-news.

mlp in nc / December 5, 2017
Future arctic sea ice loss could dry out California. Dec 5, 2017. Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2 ... 092142.htm

The dramatic loss of Arctic sea ice cover observed over the satellite era is expected to continue throughout the 21st century. Over the next few decades, the Arctic Ocean is projected to become ice-free during the summer. A new study by Ivana Cvijanovic and colleagues from Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory and University of California, Berkeley shows that substantial loss of Arctic sea ice could have significant far-field effects, and is likely to impact the amount of precipitation California receives. The research appears in the Dec. 5 edition of Nature Communications.

The study identifies a new link between Arctic sea ice loss and the development of an atmospheric ridging system in the North Pacific. This atmospheric feature also played a central role in the 2012-2016 California drought and is known for steering precipitation-rich storms northward, into Alaska and Canada, and away from California. The team found that sea ice changes can lead to convection changes over the tropical Pacific. These convection changes can in turn drive the formation of an atmospheric ridge in the North Pacific, resulting in significant drying over California.

robertscribbler / December 5, 2017

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Re: Heat is Online

Postby msfreeh » Thu Dec 07, 2017 7:56 pm

http://beta.latimes.com/local/lanow/la- ... ft01a-1la1

Gusty Santa Ana winds and bone-dry conditions continued to stoke major wildfires in Southern California on Thursday as Ventura County fire officials said the battle there could last well over a week.
By Thursday evening, the Thomas fire had consumed 115,000 acres, destroyed 427 structures in Ventura and damaged at least 85 more, authorities said. An additional 12 structures were destroyed in unincorporated areas of Ventura County.
"Until the wind stops blowing, there's really not a lot we can do as far as controlling the perimeter," Ventura County Fire Chief Mark Lorenzen said as crews battled flames for the third day. "This is a fight we're going to be fighting probably for a couple of weeks."

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Re: Heat is Online

Postby msfreeh » Sun Dec 17, 2017 9:13 pm

https://www.theguardian.com/environment ... nvironment

Venue of last resort: the climate lawsuits threatening the future of big oil

https://robertscribbler.com/2017/12/17/ ... a-history/
Scribbling for environmental, social and economic justice
Thomas Fire Likely to Become Largest in California History
Fanned by Santa Ana winds gusting up to 65 mph, the Thomas Fire swiftly expanded toward the Santa Barbara community of Monticeto on Saturday. The blaze rapidly grew by 8,500 acres forcing numerous evacuations and road closures, including the emptying of a zoo.

Tonight, winds are still fanning burning embers and lighting spot fires in the Monticeto area. This video shows a palm tree burning as sparks fly down a local street.

Montecito is one of Santa Barbara’s more affluent communities. But as of this report, all homes have so far been kept safe due to valiant firefighting efforts by the more than 8,000 personnel battling what has aptly been called a monster blaze. That said, night-time flare ups and spot fires continue to make this defensive effort extraordinarily difficult.

Totaling 267,500 acres by late Saturday, the fire was at the time the third largest in California history. That’s just 12,500 acres smaller than the Cedar Fire which burned through the San Diego area in 2003. Winds presently fanning the fire near Santa Barbara are expected to die down tonight through Sunday. However, Santa Ana gusts of up to 55 mph are expected to return to the Ventura side of the fire on Sunday — risking rapid expansion there.

The blaze is still just 40 percent contained. Its sprawling extent and predicted continued dry and windy weather conditions make it likely that the fire will ultimately exceed the size of the Cedar Fire over the coming days. Firefighters had hoped to get the fire under control by January 1, 2018. But conditions, which include the longest running red-flag warning on record, have made the fire very unruly and difficult to manage despite the amazing efforts of the largest fire fighting force ever assembled by California.

Conditions associated with human-forced climate change are clearly a compounding issue. Various climate studies indicated that persistent ridging, above average temperatures, rising drought prevalence in winter, and unusually strong Santa Ana winds would increase fire danger for California as the Earth warmed. And this is the general state of affairs we now witness.

It’s a trend we see now. Large fires have become more prevalent in California. Fire officials now note that the fire season has grown in lock-step with warming to become a year-round affair. And thirteen of the twenty largest fires on record for California have occurred since the year 2000

https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2 ... 140801.htm

Detecting cancer much earlier with use of tiny optical tweezers
December 14, 2017
Worcester Polytechnic Institute
Researchers show how optical tweezers, which use beams of light to grip and manipulate tiny objects, including cells, can be miniaturized, opening the door to creating devices small enough to be inserted into the bloodstream to trap individual cancer cells and diagnose cancer in its earliest stages. The researchers replaced bulky lenses with optical fibers to make the device smaller and more portable.
https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2 ... 143613.htm

Lyme bacteria survive 28-day course of antibiotics months after infection
Living B. burgdorferi spirochetes were found in ticks that fed upon primates and in multiple organs after treatment with 28 days of doxycycline.
December 13, 2017
Tulane University
Lyme bacteria can survive a 28-day course of antibiotic treatment four months following infection by tick bite, according to a new study using a primate model for the disease. Despite testing negative for Lyme disease, some subjects were infected with Lyme bacteria in heart, brain and other organs.

Link du jour
http://www.nydailynews.com/sports/baske ... -1.3706101

https://www.theguardian.com/environment ... tion-rules


https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/201 ... m-activism


http://www.nydailynews.com/news/nationa ... -1.3705997

https://www.boston.com/news/local-news/ ... juana-expo

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/201 ... helmed-too

https://www.theguardian.com/world/galle ... of-the-day

http://projectcensored.org/category/the ... 2016-2017/
The Top 25 Censored Stories of 2016-2017
The presentation of the Top 25 stories of 2016-2017 extends the tradition originated by Professor Carl Jensen and his Sonoma State University students in 1976, while reflecting how the expansion of the Project to include affiliate faculty and students from campuses across North America has made the Project even more diverse and robust. During this year’s cycle, Project Censored reviewed over 300 Validated Independent News stories (VINs) representing the collective efforts of 310 college students and 27 professors from 12 college and university campuses that participate in our affiliate program.

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/201 ... ate-change

The year is 2037. This is what happens when the hurricane hits Miami
The climate is warming and the water is rising. In his new book, Jeff Goodellargues that sea-level rise will reshape our world in ways we can only begin to imagine

After the hurricane hit Miami in 2037, a foot of sand covered the famous bow-tie floor in the lobby of the Fontainebleau Hotel in Miami Beach. A dead manatee floated in the pool where Elvis had once swum. Most of the damage came not from the hurricane’s 175-mile-an-hour winds, but from the twenty-foot storm surge that overwhelmed the low-lying city.

In South Beach, historic Art Deco buildings were swept off their foundations. Mansions on Star Island were flooded up to their cut-glass doorknobs. A seventeen-mile stretch of Highway A1A that ran along the famous beaches up to Fort Lauderdale disappeared into the Atlantic. The storm knocked out the wastewater-treatment plant on Virginia Key, forcing the city to dump hundreds of millions of gallons of raw sewage into Biscayne Bay.

Tampons and condoms littered the beaches, and the stench of human excrement stoked fears of cholera. More than three hundred people died, many of them swept away by the surging waters that submerged much of Miami Beach and Fort Lauderdale; thirteen people were killed in traffic accidents as they scrambled to escape the city after the news spread—falsely, it turned out—that one of the nuclear reactors at Turkey Point, an aging power plant twenty-four miles south of Miami, had been destroyed by the surge and had sent a radioactive cloud floating over the city.

The president, of course, said that Miami would be back, that Americans did not give up, that the city would be rebuilt better and stronger than it had been before. But it was clear to those not fooling themselves that this storm was the beginning of the end of Miami as a booming twenty-first-century

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/201 ... -france-us

How new moms are supported – or not – in France v the US: a feminist cartoon
France offers full coverage for prenatal and postnatal care, but young mothers get little help afterwards. In the US, things can be even worse
The Mother Load: America is failing mothers. Help us change that

http://projectcensored.org/24-eight-use ... gs-police/

Eight Use of Force Policies to Prevent Killings by Police
Killings by police are not inevitable or difficult to prevent, according to a September 2016 study by Campaign Zero, a police-reform group formed in the aftermath of the Ferguson protests. The study, “Police Use of Force Policy Analysis,” examined police departments in ninety-one of the nation’s largest cities and found that departments with stricter use […]

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