EARTHQUAKES!

Discuss the events, news, revelations and prophecies relating to Zion, the last days, second coming, etc.

Re: EARTHQUAKES!

Postby bobhenstra » Thu Jan 19, 2012 1:49 am

shadow wrote:
bobhenstra wrote: A March 22nd earthquake would would fit a dream I had (related somewhere in the depths of this site) about an earthquake I didn't survive!

Bob

Did the date of March 22 fit your dream or just an EQ?


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Re: EARTHQUAKES!

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Re: EARTHQUAKES!

Postby DrJones » Thu Jan 19, 2012 8:42 am

With regard to Yellowstone Park and its huge magma plume -- recent studies show that its plume is even larger than previously thought.

This from Science Daily:

ScienceDaily (Apr. 11, 2011) — University of Utah geophysicists made the first large-scale picture of the electrical conductivity of the gigantic underground plume of hot and partly molten rock that feeds the Yellowstone supervolcano. The image suggests the plume is even bigger than it appears in earlier images made with earthquake waves.

"It's like comparing ultrasound and MRI in the human body; they are different imaging technologies," says geophysics Professor Michael Zhdanov, principal author of the new study and an expert on measuring magnetic and electrical fields on Earth's surface to find oil, gas, minerals and geologic structures underground.

"It's a totally new and different way of imaging and looking at the volcanic roots of Yellowstone," says study co-author Robert B. Smith, professor emeritus and research professor of geophysics and a coordinating scientist of the Yellowstone Volcano Observatory.

The new University of Utah study has been accepted for publication in Geophysical Research Letters, which plans to publish it within the next few weeks.

In a December 2009 study, Smith used seismic waves from earthquakes to make the most detailed seismic images yet of the "hotspot" plumbing that feeds the Yellowstone volcano. Seismic waves move faster through cold rock and slower through hot rock. Measurements of seismic-wave speeds were used to make a three-dimensional picture, quite like X-rays are combined to make a medical CT scan.

The 2009 images showed the plume of hot and molten rock dips downward from Yellowstone at an angle of 60 degrees and extends 150 miles west-northwest to a point at least 410 miles under the Montana-Idaho border -- as far as seismic imaging could "see."

In the new study, images of the Yellowstone plume's electrical conductivity -- generated by molten silicate rocks and hot briny water mixed in partly molten rock -- shows the conductive part of the plume dipping more gently, at an angle of perhaps 40 degrees to the west, and extending perhaps 400 miles from east to west. The geoelectric image can "see" only 200 miles deep.

Two Views of the Yellowstone Volcanic Plume

Smith says the geoelectric and seismic images of the Yellowstone plume look somewhat different because "we are imaging slightly different things." Seismic images highlight materials such as molten or partly molten rock that slow seismic waves, while the geoelectric image is sensitive to briny fluids that conduct electricity.

"It [the plume] is very conductive compared with the rock around it," Zhdanov says. "It's close to seawater in conductivity."

The lesser tilt of the geoelectric plume image raises the possibility that the seismically imaged plume, shaped somewhat like a tilted tornado, may be enveloped by a broader, underground sheath of partly molten rock and liquids, Zhdanov and Smith say....


Could the Yellowstone caldera become active again? Yes, and it is the last days the Prophets have spoken to us about.

Again, I think this March 22nd date is intriguing.... It may not be Yellowstone or the Wasatch front fault that moves, but there are a number of places with stored energy that could be released in a giant earthquake. Another thing to motivate preparation IMO! and the importance of having a place of refuge, perhaps with family, away from the Earthquake Zones. (Yes, this is one reason I'm glad we moved from Provo to Sanpete County, where the EQ hazard is MUCH less.)
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Re: EARTHQUAKES!

Postby Nan » Thu Jan 19, 2012 8:44 am

We have had a few little earthquakes near Dallas Texas in the last few months. So weird.
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Re: EARTHQUAKES!

Postby DrJones » Thu Jan 19, 2012 2:29 pm

The number of earthquakes in the Puerto Rico region is now down to 13 over the past week, including small Magnitude ~1 quakes. That is VERY low and continues my concern (if you have followed this thread) that the earthquake-testing there has stopped, suggesting that the machine may be somewhere else - preparing for earthquake generation at some strategic location. (Speculative, of course.)

See: http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/ ... 71.-61.php
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Re: EARTHQUAKES!

Postby DrJones » Thu Jan 19, 2012 2:41 pm

Interesting website on the strange-sound phenomenon, calls it "Skyquakes." Discusses possible correlation with earthquakes... not definitive yet IMO.

http://www.earth-issues.com/tag/skyquakes/

Great photos...

Excerpt:

Ominous booms thunder across the sky. These ‘skyquakes’ are abruptly erupting all over the world. Hundreds of thousands wonder in fear about the bizarre hums, explosive booms, and howling moans. From Russia, to Australia, from Chile to the Eastern Coast of the U.S., the sky is exploding. As the frequency and intensity increase people are asking: ‘Is Doomsday approaching?’ Some researchers fear that may be exactly what’s coming…

Hyperborean vibrations from the Earth’s destabilized core


See also the "Strange Sounds" thread.
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Re: EARTHQUAKES!

Postby bobhenstra » Thu Jan 19, 2012 3:31 pm

Strange sounds, sky quakes?--Trumpets tuning up?? :-\

Thanks Steve, I love your research! I remain along the Wasatch Front simply because everything I own is here, actually it's not all mine, belongs to the family trust. Well, except my storage food and water, and my guns and ammo! But they won't be much protection from an earthquake, perhaps after----

I've been in some big shakers, and I'm telling everybody who reads this post, when your in one, all you can do is wait until it's over, and it'll seem like it takes a week to stop. But crawl to any protection you can find, protect yourself from falling debris. Train your families, where to hide away from windows, where to meet if out and about, school---

I live in a cabin I built from 4"X12" sixteen and twenty foot foot beams all hooked together with large bolts and nuts. I expected the coming earthquake when I built the cabin, a modified A-frame, so I built the cabin as earthquake proof as I could afford. We'll see if I did anything right!

I noticed after the earthquakes I experienced that it was the brick and adobe homes that fell, the heavy wood frame homes were still standing, that fact is the reason why I built it. Now I live in the basement of my cabin, surrounded by steel reinforced cement walls. Then, my concern was about my family, now they're all on their own and I no longer am concerned about much of anything except working on continuing to cement family relationships.

Seems like some little problem is always popping up--- :ymhug:

Bob
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Re: EARTHQUAKES!

Postby DrJones » Sat Jan 21, 2012 5:44 pm

14 quakes listed at USGS for Puerto Rico region -- still VERY low. No testing going on there! IMO.

NOTE that this thread over at AVOW showed 9,917 hits, while this "parallel" thread shows over 52,000 hits.

An example of high readership here.

I should note that many threads which I have started here over the years, I have also started at AVOW. But now, I'll be here -- and at several alt-energy forums as well.
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Re: EARTHQUAKES!

Postby Rob » Sun Jan 22, 2012 10:17 pm

Magnitude 5.0

Monday, January 23, 2012 at 02:36:32 UTC
Sunday, January 22, 2012 at 04:36:32 PM at epicenter

Location 19.336°N, 155.120°W
Depth 8.1 km (5.0 miles)
Region ISLAND OF HAWAII, HAWAII
Distances
15 km (9 miles) S (176°) from Fern Forest, HI
17 km (11 miles) SE (136°) from Volcano, HI
18 km (11 miles) S (185°) from Eden Roc, HI
41 km (26 miles) S (185°) from Hilo, HI
357 km (222 miles) SE (127°) from Honolulu, HI
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Re: EARTHQUAKES!

Postby gkearney » Sun Jan 22, 2012 10:30 pm

A 5.0 earthquake is not much really. I have an app on my phone that alerts me to every quake 5 or better it goes off several times a day.
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Re: EARTHQUAKES!

Postby Rob » Sun Jan 22, 2012 11:02 pm

How many of those several EQ's a day satisfy the following criteria...

1) It was on Oahu
2) It was <=5 miles deep
3) The AP mentioned it

The thing is, I receive the daily alerts, too, but it's not every day those three criteria are satisfied. Thanks for the tip, though. :|
Magnitude-5.0 earthquake shakes island of Oahu in Hawaii
Published January 22, 2012
Associated Press

HILO, Hawaii – A magnitude-5.0 earthquake has struck the island of Oahu in Hawaii.

The U.S. Geological Survey says the quake struck near Kae'na Point in Hawaii Volcanoes National Park at 4:36 p.m. Sunday, at a depth of five miles.

It was immediately followed by several aftershocks, the largest of them a magnitude-3.0 about 10 minutes after the original quake.

There were no immediate reports of damages or injuries.


EDIT: Here is link to location in google maps...
http://maps.google.com/maps?q=19.3+n+155.1+w
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Re: EARTHQUAKES!

Postby DrJones » Sat Jan 28, 2012 8:25 pm

http://youtu.be/IThRINLKrmw

The above youtuber is interesting -- shows quakes for the past week (ending today) -- I would like to know what URL he is using to get this display. (Can anyone determine the URL?)
Nice.

Notice all the M=5.0 or larger quakes this week! lots of them.
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Re: EARTHQUAKES!

Postby bobhenstra » Sun Jan 29, 2012 8:58 am

DrJones wrote:http://youtu.be/IThRINLKrmw

The above youtuber is interesting -- shows quakes for the past week (ending today) -- I would like to know what URL he is using to get this display. (Can anyone determine the URL?)
Nice.

Notice all the M=5.0 or larger quakes this week! lots of them.


Steve, it EQ3D, it's the program I use to notify me of 5.0 earthquakes or better, it beeps everytime an earthquake happens across the world. It can be set for any size earthquake. My version cost me $22, but there is a free version.

http://www.wolton.net/quake.html

Bob
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Re: EARTHQUAKES!

Postby DrJones » Sun Jan 29, 2012 9:15 am

Thanks, Bob. I went to the website, says
PROGRAM REQUIREMENTS
For IBM compatible PCs with Windows 98 or better. Best results are obtained with a good graphics card.


I have a mac. In fact, I have 3 macs now... I tried to open it on my mac anyway; didn't work.
But -- I like the google version, satellite map showing EQs -- works fine on my macs. Available from USGS web site. The EMSC site is also useful.

Just 18 quakes in PRico region now -- which is low and a warning flag (as I've explained earlier in this thread.)


There are a lot of M=5 or more quakes around the world just now... quite interesting!
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Re: EARTHQUAKES!

Postby bobhenstra » Sun Jan 29, 2012 9:29 am

The developer says there'll so be a mac version, don't know when, but he says it's coming. I like mine! I've also noticed the upswing in 5.0 earthquakes or better.

Bob
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Re: EARTHQUAKES!

Postby believer » Mon Jan 30, 2012 1:52 pm

6.3 earthquake in Peru
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Re: EARTHQUAKES!

Postby Rob » Fri Feb 03, 2012 4:21 pm

bobhenstra wrote:
DrJones wrote:http://youtu.be/IThRINLKrmw

The above youtuber is interesting -- shows quakes for the past week (ending today) -- I would like to know what URL he is using to get this display. (Can anyone determine the URL?)
Nice.

Notice all the M=5.0 or larger quakes this week! lots of them.


Steve, it EQ3D, it's the program I use to notify me of 5.0 earthquakes or better, it beeps everytime an earthquake happens across the world. It can be set for any size earthquake. My version cost me $22, but there is a free version.

http://www.wolton.net/quake.html

Bob
That is nice! Thanks, Bob! :ymcowboy:
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Re: EARTHQUAKES!

Postby davedan » Fri Feb 03, 2012 6:06 pm

Check out this increase in EQ activity in Japan.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eKp5cA2s ... ata_player
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Re: EARTHQUAKES!

Postby Col. Flagg » Fri Feb 03, 2012 6:15 pm

davedan wrote:Check out this increase in EQ activity in Japan.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eKp5cA2s ... ata_player

I read a science piece not long after the March 11 quake indicating that the entire island chain of Japan was in danger of slowly slipping into the ocean thanks to the 9.0 they had and that another large quake of similar size could be expected within two years which would facilitate the process. :(
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Re: EARTHQUAKES!

Postby DrJones » Mon Feb 06, 2012 10:33 am

Yes, I'm worried about Japan -- and the Philippines (big quake today -- see below). But also Calif and the Wasatch front...

(CBS/AP) Updated at 7:50 a.m. Eastern

MANILA, Philippines - A strong earthquake in the central Philippines killed at least 43 people Monday as it destroyed buildings and triggered landslides that buried dozens of houses, trapping residents. Dozens more people were reported missing.

The 6.8-magnitude quake, in a narrow strait just off Negros Island, caused a landslide in Guihulngan, a city of about 180,000 people in Negros Oriental province. As many as 30 houses were buried and at least 29 people were missing, Mayor Ernesto Reyes said.

The Philippine Army said they had counted at least 43 dead bodies in areas hardest hit by the quake, reports CBS News' Barnaby Lo from the capital, Manila. The country's disaster management agency was still verifying the reported deaths.

Lo reports that at least bridges in the region were severely damaged by the quake, leaving them impassable and greatly hindering the search and recovery effort.

The quake, which hit at 11:49 a.m. (3:49 a.m. GMT), triggered another landslide in the mountain village of Solongon in La Libertad town, also in Negros Oriental. An unknown number of people were trapped, said La Libertad police chief inspector Eric Arrol Besario.

"We're now getting shovels and chain saws to start a rescue because there were people trapped inside. Some of them were yelling for help earlier," Besario told The Associated Press by phone. Three key bridges in the town suffered cracks and were no longer passable, he said.

Philippine seismologists briefly issued a tsunami alert for the central islands. Five bamboo and wooden cottages were washed out from a beach resort in La Libertad by huge waves, but there were no reports of injuries, said police Superintendent Ernesto Tagle. Elsewhere along the coast, people rushed out of schools, malls and offices.

The epicenter was closest to Tayasan, a coastal town of about 32,000 people flanked by mountains in Negros Oriental province. A child there died when a concrete fence of a house collapsed, said Benito Ramos, head of the Office of Civil Defense.

"So far one dead, but we could not yet account for the damage to buildings," Tayasan police officer Alfred Vicente Silvosa told The AP by phone. He said there were still aftershocks "so we are outside, at the town plaza. We cannot inspect buildings yet because it's dangerous."

"I felt the building shaking, so I rushed out of the building. Our computers, shelves, plates, the cupboards, water dispenser all fell," he said.

A three-story office building also collapsed in La Libertad, but occupants managed to run out.

Negros Oriental police chief Edward Carranza said the temblor damaged many houses in Guihulngan and he ordered his men to help displaced residents find shelter.

Officials in some areas suspended work and canceled classes. Power and telecommunications were knocked out in several places.

Carranza said police rushed out of his building when the quake struck. "All my personnel ran out fearing our building would collapse," he said.

"Now it's shaking again," he said as an aftershock hit. "My keychain is dancing."

The U.S. Geological Survey said the quake was centered 44 miles north of Dumaguete city on Negros and hit at a depth of 29 miles. The area is about 400 miles southeast of the capital, Manila.

President Benigno Aquino III's spokesman said authorities did not force people to evacuate but implored those along the shore to be vigilant. The coast guard grounded all vessels while the tsunami alert was in effect.

A mall in San Carlos city in neighboring Negros Occidental province was damaged when its windows were shattered by the shaking, said Ramos, the civil defense leader. The quake was also felt in Cebu, where it lasted about 30 seconds.

The Philippines is located in the Pacific "Ring of Fire" where earthquakes and volcanic activity are common. A 7.7-magnitude quake killed nearly 2,000 people in Luzon in 1990.
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Re: EARTHQUAKES!

Postby uglypitbull » Mon Feb 06, 2012 11:04 am

Scientific info....or disinfo? Seems like a massive effort to "poison the well" is also going on.

http://geochangemag.org/index.php?optio ... s&Itemid=9

Got there from here... http://theintelhub.com/2012/02/04/myste ... lfunction/

and here... http://theintelhub.com/2012/02/03/stran ... ver-it-up/
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Re: EARTHQUAKES!

Postby Like » Sun Feb 12, 2012 4:43 pm



http://youtu.be/b92D2wsc6Ao

Here is a full website post explaining what I think is going on .. plus a series of links you can use to monitor future earthquake activity:

http://sincedutch.wordpress.com/2012/02 ... is-moving/
If you live in Utah.. you most likely know the drill... have your plans ready.. be prepared JUST in case -- food , water, communication, transportation... make sure you and your loved ones/friends know the plan .

Be safe , and much love

==dutch==


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Re: EARTHQUAKES!

Postby AshleyB » Sun Feb 12, 2012 4:56 pm

Yikes... Hopefully nothing comes of it! Thanks for the update Like.
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Re: EARTHQUAKES!

Postby kathyn » Sun Feb 12, 2012 9:59 pm

Hmmm, guess I'll have to check the USGS this week to see if more is happening.
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Re: EARTHQUAKES!

Postby DrJones » Mon Feb 13, 2012 12:57 am

DrJones wrote:
shadow wrote:
DrJones wrote: [/size] Still therefore expecting a large devastating EQ in the next several weeks [/b]-- can't say where. Note that we have not had a large devastating EQ for several months...

I heard this on Jack Stockwell's radio show a few months back FWIW-


02/27/10- 8.8 Chile EQ
188 days
09/04/10- 7.1 Christchurch EQ
188 days
03/11/11- 9.0 Japan EQ
188 days
09/15/11- 7.3 Fiji EQ (plus a few other 6+ EQ's that same day)
188 days
March 22, 2012


Now THAT is an interesting data set, Shadow! Thanks for posting this...

I'm quite sure that nature does not produce (on her own) a devastating quake at 188 day intervals. Sorta makes you wonder, doesn't it?


So next I did some checking of the data. I went to the EMSC data base, and found the attached data, just looking at magnitude 7.1 or higher. The magnitude is the second-to-last column of data, that is, just before the location column on the far right.

Look for example at the 7.3 magnitude Fiji quake, which I highlighted in yellow, on 9/15/11 and one in the "188 day" list above.
The big quake before that was on 8-20-11, so over three weeks away... nothing (M>7) in between.
Likewise, the next big quake after was on 10-21-11, so over one month after.

Likewise the devastating Honshu Japan quakes -- have no big (M>7) quakes within six weeks before or after this set of quakes in Japan.

I conclude that the frequency of M>7 quakes is low, so that the 188-day apparent cycle is not with high likelihood a mere set of coincidences.

There is one thing I found, though -- the quake in Christchurch NZ which is on the "188 day" list took place on 9/3/2010 UTC, but on 9/4/10 local time. Perhaps a technicality.

The power of a "correct theory" lies in its predictability -- so keep your eye on the next "188-day cycle" quake, which should appear on March 22, 2012.... or not.[/quote]

Just a reminder (from earlier page):

02/27/10- 8.8 Chile EQ
188 days
09/04/10- 7.1 Christchurch EQ
188 days
03/11/11- 9.0 Japan EQ
188 days
09/15/11- 7.3 Fiji EQ (plus a few other 6+ EQ's that same day)
188 days
March 22, 2012


(+/- a day due to international date line, etc.)

Note also the apparent pattern --
8.8 Chile --188 d --- 7.1 Christchurch NZ --- 9.0 Japan --- 7.3 Fiji --------- 22 March 2012

HUGE------------- Moderate ---------ENORMOUS----- Moderate ----------??GIGANTIC??
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Re: EARTHQUAKES!

Postby AshleyB » Mon Feb 13, 2012 1:38 am

I just heard something about the 188 day thing the other day too. Pretty interesting. Does that make you think it's because of super natural occurrences or man made?
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Re: EARTHQUAKES!

Postby gkearney » Mon Feb 13, 2012 5:40 am

Only problem is they are cherry picking their earthquakes ignoring those that don't fit the pattern. There have been several magnitude 7 and greater quakes between these date that the promoters of this therory ignore.
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Re: EARTHQUAKES!

Postby DrJones » Mon Feb 13, 2012 9:28 am

@thebestsun -- so far, the data point to a strange pattern, but need more evidence to definitively answer your question.

gkearney wrote:Only problem is they are cherry picking their earthquakes ignoring those that don't fit the pattern. There have been several magnitude 7 and greater quakes between these date that the promoters of this therory ignore.


Look at the data below...
And note these data I acquired are straight from the European data base:
BigEQsTable.jpg
BigEQsTable.jpg (161.45 KiB) Viewed 1087 times


Look for example at the 7.3 magnitude Fiji quake, which I highlighted in yellow, on 9/15/11 and one in the "188 day" list above.
The big quake before that was on 8-20-11, so over three weeks away... nothing (M>7) in between.
Likewise, the next big quake after was on 10-21-11, so over one month after.

Likewise the devastating Honshu Japan quakes -- have no big (M>7) quakes within six weeks before or after this set of quakes in Japan.

I conclude that the frequency of M>7 quakes is low, so that the 188-day apparent cycle is not with high likelihood a mere set of coincidences or "cherry picking".
Sure, there are "natural quakes" interspersed as must be expected; but the 188-day pattern maintains.
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Re: EARTHQUAKES!

Postby gkearney » Mon Feb 13, 2012 10:20 am

Here is the list of all the magnatude 7 and greater quakes in 2011 as
Is clear there is no date sequence and those pushing this idea have omitted earthquakes that did not fit the model.


15 7.0 0 Santiago del Estero, Argentina January 1
11 7.1 0 Araucanía Region, Chile January 2
16 7.0 0 Loyalty Islands January 13
8 7.2 2[2] Pakistan January 18
6 7.3 0 Honshu, Japan March 9
1 9.0[1] 15,828 Tōhoku, Japan March 11
2 7.9 0 Honshu, Japan March 11
3 7.7 0 Honshu, Japan March 11
12 7.1 4 Honshu, Japan April 7
9 7.2 0 Aleutian Islands, Alaska, United States June 23
4 7.6 0 Kermadec Islands, New Zealand July 6
17 7.0 0 Honshu, Japan July 10
13 7.1 0 Port Vila, Vanuatu August 20
18 7.0 0 Port Vila, Vanuatu August 20
19 7.0 0 Isangel, Vanuatu September 3
7 7.3 0 Ndoi Island, Fiji September 15
5 7.4 0 Kermadec Islands, New Zealand October 21
10 7.2 604 Van, Turkey October 23
14 7.1 0 Lae, Papua New Guinea December 14
Adding here links to the year 2012 which gives further proof, if any were needed that there is no pattern.
1 7.2 0 Sumatra, Indonesia 20.5 January 11
2 7.1 0 Vanuatu 23.1 February 2
Last edited by gkearney on Thu Feb 16, 2012 6:43 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: EARTHQUAKES!

Postby DrJones » Tue Feb 14, 2012 9:46 am

To compare the European data set that I showed with your data set, we first need to make the same cut-off in MAGNITUDES.
I used M greater than 7.0 and you included the M=7.0 quakes, so of course your list will have more quakes, and you could go down to M= 6.5 and have even more! But to compare with my data set (actually from the EMSC data set, http://www.emsc-csem.org/Earthquake/Map/earth/ ), we need to have the same cut-off in magnitudes.

So let's check. Your list with M GREATER THAN 7 gives this (for 2011):
11 7.1 0 Araucanía Region, Chile January 2
8 7.2 2[2] Pakistan January 18

Note that we have no M>7 quakes from January 18th until the Honshu Japan SET of quakes, the largest on March 11th, that is, nothing M>7 for over 1.5 months:
6 7.3 0 Honshu, Japan March 9
1 9.0[1] 15,828 Tōhoku, Japan March 11
2 7.9 0 Honshu, Japan March 11

12 7.1 4 Honshu, Japan April 7
9 7.2 0 Aleutian Islands, Alaska, United States June 23
(The EMSC data puts the one above on June 24; which has to do with the time-zone standard used in the two data sets -- not a discrepancy really.)
4 7.6 0 Kermadec Islands, New Zealand July 6

13 7.1 0 Port Vila, Vanuatu August 20

7 7.3 0 Ndoi Island, Fiji September 15
Now no M>7 quakes for over a month
5 7.4 0 Kermadec Islands, New Zealand October 21
10 7.2 604 Van, Turkey October 23
14 7.1 0 Lae, Papua New Guinea December 14


As I noted above, the EMSC data puts the Aleutian Islands quake on June 24; which has to do with the time-zone standard used in the two data sets -- not a discrepancy really.

Now let's cut at magnitude GREATER THAN 7.2 (that is, 7.3 and above) and we see:




Note that we have no M>7.2 quakes in 2011 until the Honshu Japan SET of quakes, the largest on March 11th:
6 7.3 0 Honshu, Japan March 9
1 9.0[1] 15,828 Tōhoku, Japan March 11
2 7.9 0 Honshu, Japan March 11

Now no M>7.2 quakes until July 6, nearly FOUR months:
4 7.6 0 Kermadec Islands, New Zealand July 6

And we wait for over TWO months for the next M>7.2 quake:
7 7.3 0 Ndoi Island, Fiji September 15

Now no M>7 quakes for over a month, and then nothing this big for the rest of the year:
5 7.4 0 Kermadec Islands, New Zealand October 21



Note that one has to make the cut on magnitudes somewhere, as tiny M=1 tremors occur very frequently. We're only talking about a pattern in large quakes here, and you chose the 2011 data set which is fine for a starting point, but I would recommend going back into 2010 (and looking at M>7).

The Richter scale is logarithmic, so that M=9 is one HUNDRED times greater in magnitude than an M=7 quake. And the smaller the NATURAL quakes are, the more frequent they are. Thus, when looking for a pattern in larger quakes, we need to make a cut at a larger value.

These data agree with the conclusions I stated in my previous post:

I conclude that the frequency of [larger] quakes is low, so that the 188-day apparent cycle is not with high likelihood a mere set of coincidences or "cherry picking". Sure, there are "natural quakes" interspersed as must be expected; but the 188-day pattern maintains.

AGAIN, I am NOT saying that this conclusion will NECESSARILY apply to March 22, 2012 having a large/damaging quake -- this is how we TEST a theory: we look at its PREDICTION and see if the prediction holds up. So let's do that -- watch what happens on March 22 (+/- a day; see note on the Aleutian island quake above). We also might want to prepare a bit -- wouldn't hurt to do so.
Last edited by DrJones on Tue Feb 14, 2012 10:39 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: EARTHQUAKES!

Postby kathyn » Tue Feb 14, 2012 10:31 am

Interestingly (or not) I had a long dream last night about a big earthquake in the Salt Lake valley and there was a lot of liquifaction, in that a lot of the valley was filled with water. I'm not saying this means anything...just that I dreamed it three times and it seemed like it went on and on. The thing that stuck with me, though was that I needed to store more water.
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