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Poll: Election Predictions

Posted: October 28th, 2014, 10:22 am
by iWriteStuff
http://www.politico.com/story/2014/10/h ... 12248.html

Democrats fear a crushing loss, but are the results as certain as the polls predict? Or can they pull out a win against overwhelming odds?

Re: Poll: Election Predictions

Posted: October 28th, 2014, 10:25 am
by iWriteStuff
T-minus seven days and counting...

Re: Poll: Election Predictions

Posted: October 28th, 2014, 12:33 pm
by iWriteStuff
interesting.... one vote for Democrats.

What's your reasoning, anonymous voter?

Re: Poll: Election Predictions

Posted: October 28th, 2014, 12:38 pm
by Fiannan
iWriteStuff wrote:interesting.... one vote for Democrats.

What's your reasoning, anonymous voter?
I think I know who it is but I won't say. :))

Other than that let us pray that Harry Reid is no longer leader in the senate soon.

Image

Re: Poll: Election Predictions

Posted: October 28th, 2014, 12:52 pm
by gkearney
Here is what I think will happen. The vote will be very close, perhaps a tie. If a tie then the Vice President acting as President of the Senate breaks the tie and as Joe Biden is a Democrat he carries the Senate for the Democrats. Even if it come down to one or two senators the Democrats still carry the senate as the swing vote in such a senate would fall to Independent Senator Angus King, (I Maine) who has traditionally decided to caucus with the Democrats. The other "independent" senator Bernie Sanders (I Vermont) the Senate's only socialist member always caucuses with the Democrats.

No matter what happens in the election Angus King will likely be the most powerful member of the Senate following the election given that he is not tied to either party, nor is he like Sanders predictable in his political leanings, can swing his vote one way or another in a closely divided Senate which would seem likely to happen in any event.

I think smart money is always on the incumbents to hold on, In this case even if it is very very close the Democrats still have a built in advantage. One thing is sure, the political pork is going to flow into Maine.

Re: Poll: Election Predictions

Posted: October 28th, 2014, 1:10 pm
by iWriteStuff
gkearney wrote:Here is what I think will happen. The vote will be very close, perhaps a tie. If a tie then the Vice President acting as President of the Senate breaks the tie and as Joe Biden is a Democrat he carries the Senate for the Democrats. Even if it come down to one or two senators the Democrats still carry the senate as the swing vote in such a senate would fall to Independent Senator Angus King, (I Maine) who has traditionally decided to caucus with the Democrats. The other "independent" senator Bernie Sanders (I Vermont) the Senate's only socialist member always caucuses with the Democrats.

No matter what happens in the election Angus King will likely be the most powerful member of the Senate following the election given that he is not tied to either party, nor is he like Sanders predictable in his political leanings, can swing his vote one way or another in a closely divided Senate which would seem likely to happen in any event.

I think smart money is always on the incumbents to hold on, In this case even if it is very very close the Democrats still have a built in advantage. One thing is sure, the political pork is going to flow into Maine.
Very astute political observation, gkearney. It seems as though you hedge Democrat as a matter of political realism.... I don't argue the logic or the conclusion.

Personally, I'm not entirely sure how it will end up. I don't think either party plays fair and I'm not convinced that the politically dominant party matters much. Politics is theater: a comedy at best and a murder mystery at worst.

Globalists: you're in the lead! What's your reasoning?

Re: Poll: Election Predictions

Posted: October 28th, 2014, 3:51 pm
by iWriteStuff
And of course maybe if you're voting for a Republican, you're actually voting for a Democrat. I wonder what percentage of votes that affects in a tight election?

http://baltimore.cbslocal.com/2014/10/2 ... ch-claims/

Re: Poll: Election Predictions

Posted: October 28th, 2014, 4:07 pm
by Desert Roses
iWriteStuff wrote:Globalists: you're in the lead! What's your reasoning?
History...I've studied ancient and modern history, as well as observed the trends for the last 35 years, particularly in the US. We have been moving ever closer to a global political world, though the 3rd world nations will be much harder to pull on board. There is already economic globalism, and certainly communications globalism. It's really only a matter of time. The Republicans move us that way with wars and increasingly intrusive controls on our civil rights; the Democrats move us closer with social programs and economic "reforms."

Re: Poll: Election Predictions

Posted: October 28th, 2014, 5:05 pm
by stockoneder
I predict a crushing victory for the statists and a net gain in their power. The sheeple will continue to fall for the immoral scam known as voting and will choose once again to be subjects of the ruling class. Voting is a fraud and a sin. http://righttoreason.blogspot.com/2013/ ... moral.html" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

http://gregstocks.wordpress.com/2014/10 ... ubject-to/" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

Re: Poll: Election Predictions

Posted: October 29th, 2014, 6:50 am
by iWriteStuff
Desert Roses wrote:
iWriteStuff wrote:Globalists: you're in the lead! What's your reasoning?
History...I've studied ancient and modern history, as well as observed the trends for the last 35 years, particularly in the US. We have been moving ever closer to a global political world, though the 3rd world nations will be much harder to pull on board. There is already economic globalism, and certainly communications globalism. It's really only a matter of time. The Republicans move us that way with wars and increasingly intrusive controls on our civil rights; the Democrats move us closer with social programs and economic "reforms."
I find your logic hard to dispute. It's a shell game, each shell moving closer to the edge. Sometimes it's the D's moving the shell, sometimes the R's. Anyone observing it objectively can see it from a mile away.

Re: Poll: Election Predictions

Posted: October 30th, 2014, 3:59 am
by gkearney
From the AP it's clear that in a close Senate having an I after your name is going to give you great power.

Senate control could turn on 2 independents' moves

Update at 12:11 AM
By: CHARLES BABINGTON

WASHINGTON (AP) - One or two men could decide which party controls the Senate after the nation votes next week.
One is independent Sen. Angus King of Maine. He cooperates with Democrats but says he might switch to the Republicans.
The other is Kansas independent candidate Greg Orman. He seeks to oust Republican Sen. Pat Roberts.
Orman says he would cooperate with whichever party holds the majority. But he alone could determine the majority party if Republicans win 50 seats and Democrats control 49.
If Orman sided with the Democrats, they would control a 50-50 Senate, thanks to Vice President Joe Biden's power to break ties.
But if Orman sided with Republicans, they'd have a 51-49 majority.
King could complicate things even further if he decided to caucus with Republicans instead of Democrats.